$226.65K Vol.
Politics

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
1d 18:58:54
Nov 4, 2026
$226.65K Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate$58.25K27%-22.2%BuyYes27.3¢ BuyNo75.3¢
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$58.25K
27%
-22.2%
BuyYes27.3¢
BuyNo75.3¢
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate$38.28K3%-46.5%BuyYes3¢ BuyNo99.4¢
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$38.28K
3%
-46.5%
BuyYes3¢
BuyNo99.4¢
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate$62.39K<1%-49.6%BuyYes0.4¢ BuyNo99.7¢
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$62.39K
<1%
-49.6%
BuyYes0.4¢
BuyNo99.7¢